Saturday 15 March 2025

Arabica futures ended the week at new highs, Brazil coffee exports were 9.5% up in January (Secex)

This increase in exports is all the more significant given the low level of coffee stocks and the current reluctance of Brazilian producers to sell

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MILAN – The Ice Arabica closed the past week with a consolidation session that saw the near-term contract reaching new all-time highs. On Friday, 7 February, the March contract closed slightly higher(+40 points) at 404.35 cents, after having hit a new record-high of 413.95 cents during trading. In London, the March contract closed on Friday at $5,561, down 1.3% from Thursday and 2.7% from Friday, 31 January.

The main producing countries released new statistical data at the end of the week. According to the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex), Brazil exported 4.09 million bags of coffee in January, an increase of 9.5% compared to the same month last year.

The figure is also up from December 2024, when shipments totalled 3.365 million.

This increase in exports is all the more significant given the low level of coffee stocks and the current reluctance of Brazilian producers to sell.

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However, it should also be borne in mind that Brazil has been facing serious logistical difficulties, which have slowed down shipments and increased the stocks accumulated in port warehouses awaiting export. Cecafé is expected to release its monthly figures later this week.

Vietnam’s green coffee exports in February totalled 137,568 tonnes or 2,292,800 bags, down 38.2% in volume but up 8.8% in value.

Processed coffee exports amounted to 17,067 tonnes, bringing in $104.6 million, accounting for 11% of total volume and 13% of total export value. For 2025, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development has set a coffee production target of 1.98 million tonnes (33 million bags), slightly higher than the previous year.

Colombia’s monthly production rose strongly in January. According to statistics released by the National Federation of Coffee Growers, the world’s largest producer of washed Arabica harvested 1.35 million bags in January, up 41% on the same month last year.

Exports also increased (+23%) to 1.15 million bags in January. In the last 12 months (February 2024 – January 2025), production surged by 23% to 13.9 million bags, while exports rose by 17% to 12.5 million bags.

CIMBALI

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