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El Niño development pauses; ENSO Outlook remains at El Niño WATCH
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MELBOURNE, Australia – The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. The Bureau's ENSO Outlook remains at El Niño WATCH, meaning there is around a 50% chance of El Niño developing in 2017—double the normal likelihood. However several indicators have shown little or no increase for several weeks ...
Tropical Pacific remains warmer than average, says Australia’s BOM
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MELBOURNE, Australia – The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. With the tropical Pacific Ocean warmer than average, and around half the international climate models reaching El Niño levels later in the year, development of El Niño in 2017 cannot be ruled out.
ENSO still neutral, but tropical Pacific waters continue to warm, say BOM
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MELBOURNE, Australia – The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. However the Bureau's ENSO Outlook is currently at El Niño WATCH, meaning there is around a 50% chance—twice the normal likelihood—of El Niño developing in 2017.
Chances are increasing for El Niño development by late summer and fall
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COLLEGE PARK, Maryland, U.S. – ENSO-neutral conditions continued during March, with near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central equatorial Pacific and above-average SSTs in the eastern Pacific. The latest weekly Niño index values were near zero in the Niño-4 and Niño-3.4 regions, and +0.8 and +0.9°C farther east ...
Australian BOM sees 50 percent chance of El Niño developing in 2017
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MELBOURNE, Australia – The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. However, the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology's ENSO Outlook status is at El Niño WATCH, indicating around a 50% chance of El Niño developing in 2017. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean ...
El Niño WATCH: six of eight models suggest El Niño by July, says BOM
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MELBOURNE, Australia – The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is neutral. However, model outlooks and recent warming in the Pacific Ocean mean there is an increased chance of El Niño forming later this year. The ENSO Outlook of the Bureau of Meteorology of the Australian Government (BOM) is currently at ...
Likelihood of El Niño increases says Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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MELBOURNE, Australia – The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. However, recent changes in both the tropical Pacific Ocean and atmosphere, and climate model outlooks surveyed by the Bureau, suggest the likelihood of El Niño forming in 2017 has risen.
ENSO remains neutral says the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
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MILAN – The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral, with all ENSO indicators currently within the ENSO-neutral range, according to the Australian Government Bureau...
Tropical Pacific Ocean remains ENSO neutral
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In the tropical Pacific Ocean, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. A neutral ENSO period indicates that the tropical Pacific Ocean is not...
La Niña no longer likely in the coming months
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The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific Ocean remains neutral (neither El Niño nor La Niña). Although some very weak La Niña-like patterns continue ...
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